Friday, August 29, 2008

Twilight Doghouse Posted for Friday, August 29

I have just posted the Doghouse for the twilight racing card today, with the first post at 2:45 pm.

I am now officially in negative territory since the very first days of the meet. Have to do well today. I have had winners and exactas on the Doghouse, but not the top choices and not what I bet.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Doghouse Posted for Thursday, August 28

I have posted the Doghouse for today. Too many maidens again, so take it easy.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Doghouse will be posted for Thursday, August 28

The Doghouse will be posted but it may be late around or after 10 am.

Got killed today with all the maidens.

Mr. X

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Wednesday's Doghouse Posted, August 27

I have posted the Doghouse for Wednesday at Meet Mr. X or the Racing Calendar.

Way too many maiden races that become just statistical guessing games.

Close to some big hits, but no cigar. Have to keep trying. Still positive for the meet.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Monday, August 25, 2008

Doghouse to be Posted for Wednesday, August 27

Couldn't bet our Derby horse, Colonel John, in the Travers because he had never won on dirt, and he didn't even train on it. What a race!

Visionaire was another horse that we bet during the Triple Crown, and he looks really good as a sprinter.

Been losing on Friday and Saturday but won on Sunday. Couldn't hit a $3000 payoff on the Grand Slam on Sunday. Won again on Monday. Still positive for the meet.

Will post on Tuesday night or Wednesday morning before 10 am. Great weather!

Mr. X

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Kings Bishop and Travers Stakes, Saturday, August 23

Two great races, among my favorites of the year and certainly my favorites at Saratoga:

Race 10 Kings Bishop

8 J Be K - set track record as two year old here, working well, numbers say will prefer 7f
7 Golden Spikes - shipper from Calder, class, good chance to grab part, %E good for 7f
1 Kodiak Kowboy - done nothing wrong, Jones knows how to train, good works, likes Spa, may prefer 6f

Exbx: 1-7-8 Exbx: 7-8 Ex: 8-7

Race 11 Travers

8 Harlem Rocker - best final time, looks like improving for Pletcher, but inexperienced, only raced against small fields
9 Mambo in Seattle - another improving, good %E, excellent race here, one to beat
5 Macho Again - great race here, good fight, traffic last, but closing time at limit, may not want longer
11 Pyro - big closer, looked to hang last, needs to stay close, not convinced that he wants 10f
6 Cool Coal Man - Zito, raced w Big Brown last, could get piece

Exbx: 5-8-9 Exbx: 8-9 Tri: 8-9/5-6-8-9-11/5-6-8-9-11

Good luck and have fun!

Mr. X

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Doghouse Posted for Friday, August 22

The Doghouse Confidential has been posted. As always, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the red box or go to the Racing Calendar at the bottom of the Meet Mr. X page.

Lost a little this weekend so I have to get back on track. Still positive for the meet.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Doghouse Confidential to be Posted for Friday, August 22

I will post a Doghouse for tomorrow either late tonight or early tomorrow.

Sunday's Spot Play got in trouble, but he wasn't going to win anyway. Bet down from 12-1 to about 5-1 so I wasn't the only one who liked him to repeat.

Get it back tomorrow.

Mr. X

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Spot Play for Sunday, August 17

In Race 3, we have 2 Skills Coach who broke his maiden here at $27 which we had.

My numbers say he has a good chance to repeat. He has the best closing time and good energy distribution. He should sit behind the speed.

2 Skills Coach to win.

Had every winner and eight of nine exactas on the Doghouse yesterday, but I lost big. You need to bet them right.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Doghouse Posted for Today- Saturday, August 16

Just posted the Doghouse Confidential for today.

Some bad horses in some bad races. The later races are better.

Go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential box. Or go the racing calendar under today's date.

Good luck! Still winning.

Mr. X

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Good Day Yesterday with Spot Plays

Did well yesterday with our spot plays.

In the 3rd, Loose Leaf ($22) won, but our exacta horse came third so we didn't cash. I should have had a small win bet on Loose Leaf at 10-1, but I'm not that smart.

In the 8th, our horse was scratched so there was no bet. Unfortunately, the other two came in and the exacta paid $15.40.

In the 9th race, we did have the exacta which came back a light $106, but we'll take it. Had it five times.

Hope some of you cashed.

Mr. X

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Spot Plays, Wednesday, August 13

The weather has been horrendous and changing from race to race. Tomorrow should be better.

Here are some spot plays:

3rd Race - Tough Race

2 Extreme Supreme - right spot, best closing time and %E; Ward 3/4 here, 30%W-50%$
4 Loose Leaf - Had physical problems, but major close last year, needs to stay close; McPeek
6 Ravel - ship in, layoff for Pletcher/JVel; hard to ignore

The bet: $20 Ex: 2-4, $10 Ex: 4-2, $5 Exbx: 2-6

8th Race

2B Callmetony - Levine 35-60%, best final time, needs to break well from outside, 7f?
3 Starforaday - good closer, good final time, Prado here, major work, but needs to get off rail
6 Premium Wine - needs to stay close, disappointed this year, may not want wet, JVel leaves

The bet: $20 Ex: 2-3, $10 Ex: 3-2, $5 Exbx: 2-6 (no bet if 2B scratched); DD: 2B/3-6-8

9th Race

3 Doremifasollatido - best closing time, %E, needs to stretch 5f to 6.5f, 4 works, Jerkens 22-56%
8 Mani Bhavan - another stretcher, best final time, but outside, may want lead, Klesaris/Garcia
6 Garden District - been 6f, Pletcher/JVel, may not want longer, but has pace edge
4 Simplify - Bridg/Ass 28-52%, finished right behind 6, 4 works, may not want longer

The bet: $10 Exbx: 3/6-8, $1 Tri: 3-6-8/3-4-6-8/3-4-6-8

Always check my numbers.

Good luck! Still winning. Had two good ones on Sunday's Doghouse.

Mr. X

Sunday, August 10, 2008

Doghouse Posted for Sunday, August 10

Posted the Doghouse, but it is very difficult to handicap when the weather changes from race to race, and you may be facing a monsoon.

Stay alert and look for overlays.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Friday, August 8, 2008

Omen from Gods of Racing; Next Doghouse on Sunday, August 10

Friday's date was 08-08-08. Some say that the date means infinity.

I handicapped the Doghouse for wet, and the weather for the first two races was perfect. In fact, my wife asked me if I was sticking with the Doghouse because of the good weather and the good to fast track.

After two races, I was down exactly $80.

Then a light rain, heavier rain, monsoon, hail, and rain again. The track looked like a river. Then the sun again. But the track was washed out around the far turn, and the card was canceled.

Maybe the Racing Gods saw that I lost exactly $80, and I was going to lose "infinitely" more so they figured the only way to save me was to cancel the card.

We live to play again on Sunday.

Mr. X

Doghouse Posted for Friday, August 8

The Doghouse is available at Meet Mr. X or on the calendar.

Handicapped for wet, but we really don't know how bad the weather is going to affect the track. Pay attention to the Grand Slam and the later races if all of the races are off the turf. There may be some good overlays when that happens.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Thursday, August 7, 2008

Career Day Last Sunday; Doghouse to be Posted for Friday, August 8

For those of you paying attention, last Sunday's Doghouse had six winners on top out of seven races paying $27, $12.80, $8.60, $7.40, $4.10, and $3. Emailed the $27 winner to Track Facts Live (local tv show) on Sunday.

Also hit two Daily Doubles, the Pick4 for half of $810, three exactas for $120, $55.50, and $26.20, and the Grand Slam for $38.60 ten times.

Made over $1100 betting conservatively. Now plus $700 for the meet.

I will post another Doghouse for tomorrow, Friday. Just don't expect the same results!

Mr. X

Sunday, August 3, 2008

Sunday, August 3 Doghouse Posted

I have posted the latest Doghouse. Go to Meet Mr. X and click on the Doghouse Confidential red box or find the date on the Racing Calendar.

Hit two of three Spot Plays on Wednesday singling the favorite in the jump race with our horse. Then hit the triple twice in the late race. Missed the Grand Slam when the favorite in the third leg ran out. Good day, though.

Very tough card today with anyone winning any race. If you find value, go for it.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Saturday, August 2, 2008

Doghouse to be Posted for Sunday, August 3

I will post the first Saratoga Doghouse Confidential for tomorrow, sometime around 10 am.

I hope you have been following the spot plays as I hit 2 of 3 on Wednesday and made some money!

Mr. X