Monday, September 6, 2021

Final Day Doghouse Posted, Monday, September 6, 2021

 Was losing early and could never have bet Thomas Shelby who killed my Pick 5. However, I hit the 11th and 12th race double as well as exactas in both races to show a profit of $150 for the day.

Ridiculous card for the final day. Way too many maiden races, so take it easy, at least until the later races.

As always, go to the red Doghouse Confidential button at the Meet Mr. X page.

Very sad for closing day at the Spa. Just can't get enough of the place.

Good luck!

Sunday, September 5, 2021

Doghouse Posted for Sunday, September 5, 2021

 Had a bad day on Friday although it wasn't unexpected given the card. Everything went wrong. Lost $275. But yesterday, hit the late Pick 5 for $360 and had a $30 win bet on Max Player, the only real 10f horse in the race. Sorry I didn't post yesterday as I was busy all morning. The moral of the story is to do your own handicapping and don't listen to the TV personalities except for information. They completely dismissed Max Player who won in the slop against Happy Saver, and the big favorite in the 1 hole had never been 10f. We know that the jump to 10f is major given our Derby analysis. 

Today's card is difficult at best. There is no competition greater than at Saratoga. 

As always, go to the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X. I will likely post for the final day tomorrow. 

Good luck!

Friday, September 3, 2021

Doghouse Posted for Friday, September 3, 2021

 Winning more than losing lately, but very uneven. Lost two or three disqualifications as well.

Today's card is ridiculous before scratches and changes although on the turf as planned. Loaded with maiden races and extremely difficult so take it easy. Very tough time separating contenders. 

As always, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

Good luck!

Tuesday, August 31, 2021

Doghouse for Wednesday, September 1, 2021

 Hit the late Pick 3 and Pick 4 on Sunday with $19 and $23 horses in the last two races (didn't post). Paid $125 and $215 so I made some money again. Heating up.

Here is the Doghouse Confidential for Wednesday. There are some really bad races so take it easy.

Just go the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X.

Good luck!

Saturday, August 28, 2021

Another Good Day

 Hit the Pick 5 below twice for $74 each. Four of five first choices won, with the other being a second choice. Hit an exacta, pick 3 and a good double. Made $270.

Essential Quality is the goods!

Stakes Pick 5 Posted for Travers Day, Saturday, August 28, 2021

 Had another good day with the last Doghouse on Wednesday with 5 first choices winning out of nine races and seven winners overall. Made only $200!

Looks like Essential Quality will continue to roll in the Travers. Pletcher is very high on his horse, Dynamic One.

Here are my picks for the Stakes Pick 5:

8: 7,3,1,4

9: 2(AA), 6,1,4

10: 6(AA), 5

11: 1,2,7

12: 2(AA), 4

Good luck!

Wednesday, August 25, 2021

Doghouse Confidential Posted for Wednesday, August 25, 2021

 A good day for long-awaited turf racing. Some questionable races with horses with infirmities.

At least we have some good weather.

Go to the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X to download today's picks.

Good luck!

Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Finally, A Good Day!

 If you were paying attention, I said to tread lightly today because I haven't been doing well along with the variable weather. 

Had all nine winners on the Doghouse, with 7 A horses and 2 B horses. Five of the A's were first choice.

Yes, there were short fields and many favorites, but you have to take what they give you. Hit a big double, big pick 3, early pick 5, and missed the pick 6 by one horse. Made over $500 for the best day of the meet by far!

Doghouse Confidential Posted for Wednesday, August 18, 2021

 Just posted today's Doghouse after scratches and off the turf races.

Please tread lightly as I have not been winning with any frequency. Add the weather and track conditions, and you may have a very trying day.

As always, go to the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X.

Take it easy today and good luck!

Friday, August 6, 2021


 In the 9th race, add 7 as a B horse. Mike Smith's only mount for Godolphin foreign horse. Sorry.

Doghouse Posted for Whitney Day, August 7, 2021

 I have posted the Doghouse for the later races, starting with Race 6. Very difficult card as usual.

Note: Luis Saez and his agent, former trainer Kieran McLaughlin, are tearing up Saratoga. Look for horses that Saez leaves for another in the same race. Saez can't win them all, but he is getting his choice of horses likely handicapped by McLaughlin. Watch out!

As always, go to the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X for tomorrow's Doghouse.

Good luck!

Tuesday, August 3, 2021

Doghouse Confidential Posted for Wednesday, August 4, 2021

 Thanks for the kudos for the Belmont Stakes. We hit both the safe bet and my bets with the only two horses that I thought would compete. 

So far at Saratoga, I have not done very well at all. Had many winners but couldn't hit the Pick 4's and 5's. Add the rain and the meet to date has been a mess. I have been reluctant to post.

However, I think I'm turning the corner starting tomorrow, and the weather is finally turning warm and dry for the next week or so.

As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

Good luck!

Saturday, June 5, 2021

Belmont Stakes 2021

Looks to me that 2 Essential Quality will run over this bunch. Primed for this given his bad trip being wide and starting his run too early. Could even lead from start to finish. 

Only threat for me is 4 Hot Rod Charlie. Good race in the Derby and Flavin Prat moves from the Preakness winner 3 Rombauer back to Hot Rod Charlie. Distance may be a problem, but you can say that about everyone in the race.

Safe bet: $5 exacta box 2-4 or $10 to win on 2

My bet: $30 exacta 2-4: $20 exacta 4-2

Good luck!

Friday, May 14, 2021

Preakness Thoughts and Derby Recap

 First, a word on the Kentucky Derby. Medina Spirit didn't meet my numbers, so he was a throwout. Couldn't see him winning given that there was so much other speed in the race: Hot Dog Charlie, Rock Your World, Midnight Bourbon, etc. There is no way that a horse can go on the front end in the Derby unless he is a superior horse, with little competition on the front end, like War Emblem. In the Santa Anita Derby, Rock Your World went to the front for his first race on dirt and won with Medina Spirit some 4.5 lengths behind. Apparently, Medina Spirit was surprised by Rock Your World and didn't chase, leading to a slow final time which resulted in not meeting my numbers. In the Derby, Medina Spirit surprised everyone, including Baffert, and was in the right place at the right time. Rock Your World bumped with Midnight Bayou at the start, so they couldn't go to the front to challenge him. Hot Dog Charlie took back. So Medina Spirit was on the front end essentially unchallenged for the lead. Add that the favorite, Essential Quality was wide on both turns (Saez could have moved him to the rail on the second turn). Saez also started his run too early, the result being that Essential Quality, the best horse in the race, traveled about 7 lengths more than the winner while losing by less than two! So Medina Spirit, with the best jockey in the world in Johnny V. on the front end, should never have won, the drug issue aside.

In the Preakness, it appears that these horses are a really mediocre bunch. I'm not thrilled about anyone. If you watched the races on Friday, the inside of the track is very good, and Medina Spirit in post 3 is only being helped by the track. Baffert replaces (?) Rosario on Concert Tour with Mike Smith. Irad Ortiz is now on the wise guy horse, Midnight Bourbon, who had trouble at the start but still finished 8 lengths behind Medina Spirit. Both Chad Brown's horses, Crowded Trade and Risk Taking, have a chance but don't appear to be anything special. Then we have Rosario on the Japanese horse, Fran Go de Ina, that he has ridden before in Dubai unsuccessfully. Pletcher's horse, Unbridled Honor, is stretching from 8.5 furlongs to 9.5 furlongs in the Preakness.

Honestly, I'm sad to say that it looks like the two Baffert horses hold the keys to the race. I'm favoring Concert Tour even though he is on the outside, not the place to be. So I will bet Concert Tour and Medina Spirit over Crowded Trade and Midnight Bourbon in exactas. Don't know exactly how.

Good luck!

Friday, April 30, 2021

Correction Derby Bets

 Safe bet is incorrect. Should have been $2 exacta key box 14 with 1-6-10-17= $16.


Kentucky Derby 2021 Doghouse Posted

 As always, a difficult race. Just couldn't find an alternative to the favorite, unbeaten 14 Essential Quality. 

But I do have some longshots in the exacta.

Just go to Meet Mr. X, and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button. Good luck!

Mr. X

Thursday, April 29, 2021

2021 Derby Categorizations by Energy Distribution and Final Three Furlong Times

 Yes, I am still alive and have received both vaccinations. Now for the Derby.

I have posted the Categorizations at Meet Mr. X, red button. No big surprises. Remember the analysis does not take into account final times. It is only to separate the contenders into the three categories.

I will post my analysis on Friday night or Saturday morning. 

Good luck!