Monday, June 10, 2019

The Belmont turned out to be Exciting!

Nothing is better than winning except winning big!

We thought War of Will was over the top and likely is a 9f horse. Finished way back.

Little, athletic Sir Winston ran along the inside with an incredible ride by Joel Rosario until exploding in the stretch to win. Great price of $22. Tacitus ran on the outside all the way around. Jose Ortiz just didn't have an opportunity to get him to the rail. As a result, Tacitus ran 65 feet more than Sir Winston. Tacitus was a hard luck loser as the favorite, but good for the payoffs. Excellent $2 exacta of $96. We hit the safe bet, and I hit my bet of a $20 exacta box. Also used Bricks N Mortar for the double. Collected over $1200! Justice prevails after losing the Derby on the disqualification. Sometimes you win, and sometimes you win big!

Friday, June 7, 2019

Belmont Stakes Unexciting

Not close in the Preakness. Moving on.

Looks to me that 10 Tacitus and 9 War of Will have a great class edge over the rest of the field. Tacitus has been resting since the Derby, and our numbers showed that he can run forever at a constant pace. War of Will has done nothing wrong although our numbers showed that he couldn't get the 10f of the Derby. If you recall, he had every chance to win after the debacle, but faded in the last eighth of a mile. Casse says the horse has been doing great and actually gained weight since the Preakness win. I'm still skeptical that the horse can get the distance, and coupled with the tough campaign, I'm leaving him out. Do so at your own peril.

My second choice is the lightly raced 8 Intrepid Heart. Trained by Pletcher who does very well in the Belmont. Stumbled in the Peter Pan as the favorite, and he is a Tapit as is Tacitus. Johnny V. rides with blinkers on. Look for near or at the lead. Third choice is 7 Sir Winston who came from way back to finish almost five lengths in front of Intrepid Heart in the Peter Pan. The other horse trained by Casse and ridden by Rosario. Not the winning style for the Belmont.

Safe bet: $2 Exacta box: 10 with 7-8-9 = $12

Here is my bet:

$20 Exacta box: 10 with 7-8 = $80

Good luck!