Breeder's Cup Epilogue 2022

 Everyone who wants to bet the races has to have a plan. Mine was to bet the pick 3's, 4's and 5's and then anything else that presented good value. A good plan starts with knowing when the races will be run. Unfortunately, I still haven't learned that lesson, presuming that the first Breeder's Cup race would be after 2 pm when televised. So I didn't bet my single, Goodnightolive as the race was over, and only had a few minutes to bet the next race. Screwed that up, too, by not betting a pick 3 that paid over $1500 for $2. Had the $87 horse as a B.

The Doghouse had 8 winners from 9 races with 6 A's and 2 B's including the $87 horse. Appleby won two races and Irad won one race while Rosario finished in the money four times. So there was no reason that I shouldn't have made a killing.

But after my issues at the beginning, I became reckless and bet a number of pick 4's, 5's, and even a pick 6 which I rarely do. Unfortunately, we didn't have the winner in the sixth race which caused a number of bets to lose. I was now down about $500 using my surprising wealth from Friday. But in the end, I hit the late pick 3 and pick 4 to bail me out for a profit of $100 for the day. Plus $600 for the Breeder's Cup two days. Woulda, shoulda, coulda.

Saturday Breeder's Cup Doghouse Posted, November 5, 2022

 In a complete surprise, I made money today hitting the ridiculously easy exacta with Forte over Cave Rock for $27. Should have paid about $12, so I'll take it for the only two real threats in the race.

Also, hit the Pick 4 for a quarter of $1800, a profitable Friday even though the card was difficult.

Keeneland is playing like Saratoga with a short stretch on dirt with horses having to be near the lead at the top of the stretch. On the turf, favor the inside runners and bet against horses on the outside to win. Additionally, lean on Rosario and Irad Ortiz who seem to be getting the best mounts. Charlie Appleby, trainer, for Godolphin in England won two races today and is loaded for tomorrow. William Buick is his primary rider. Give extra weight to anything he runs. He mentioned today that Modern Games in the mile is his most likely winner tomorrow. 

Go to meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

Good luck!

Breeder's Cup Friday Doghouse Posted, November 4, 2022

 Just posted the Doghouse for Friday's Breeder's Cup races. Don't know if it helps. Ridiculously difficult given the two year-olds, and even more chaos with the turf races invaded by the foreign horses with limited information.

If I can win two races each day, I will break even or make some money. Unfortunately, I usually make a major deposit over the two days. Really take it easy on Friday and be a little more brave on Saturday.

I will be posted tomorrow night for Saturday.

As always, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button. 

Good luck!

Sunday Doghouse Posted, September 4

 Last Doghouse was not good at all except that it did have the Pick 5 for $1100. But it would have taken a ticket of $300 or more. No thanks.

Another difficult card today for likely the last dry day of the meet. Again, tread lightly with many contentious races. 

As always, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the Doghouse Confidential button. Good luck!

Doghouse Posted for Friday, September 2

 We had the Travers winner and the big exacta, along with the Pick 4 (twice), double and triple in the next race. So a good day overall even though I did not add a horse after a scratch in the Pick 5 that would have paid $568. So it goes.

Today's card is extremely difficult, probably the most contentious of the meet, so take it easy. Difficult to bet the Pick 5 or Pick 4, likely too expensive.

As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button. Good luck!

Travers Doghouse Posted for Late Pick 5

I love Epicenter in the Travers, but I just can't ignore the track record time of Cyberknife in the Haskell at Monmouth who has a chance to upset. Brad Cox (Cyberknife) knows what he is doing. Meets my numbers, but does look a bit light against Epicenter. Early Voting with Brown is always a threat, and I just can't ignore Rich Strike who comes from way out of it and is working great here. But in the end, it is an exacta box with Epicenter and Cyberknife. I will also bet smaller boxes with each of these with the other two.

I like the middle Pick 5. Think it has a good chance.

Been picking winners, but cashing less. Always seems that there is one horse knocking me out of the Pick 5.

Go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the Doghouse Confidential button.

Weather is great and the track is tightening up. Good luck!

Doghouse Posted for Wednesday, August 17

 Had 8 of 11 winners on the Saturday Doghouse, with 6 A horses. But still managed to lose big when Jose Ortiz blew the ride on the big favorite in the feature, Regal Glory. Would have made over $500 hitting the Grand Slam and the late Pick 5. So it goes.

Today is really another bad card with impending rain showers so take it easy. The track will continue to change making it very difficult to focus on the winning track bias.

As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

Good luck!