Travers Day 2020

 Been losing for the meet but heating up recently. If you were paying attention, we hit the Pick 4 on August 2 (below). Only paid $82, but we will take it. Hit a good Grand Slam on Thursday for $212. Yesterday I was alive to four horses out of eight in the final leg of the late Pick 4, and the best I do was a third place finish. Tough at the Spa.

Today in the Travers all of the horses meet my numbers. 6 Tiz the Law looks overwhelming. He is most seasoned and has a pace edge on the field. Only way he can get beat is if 3 Uncle Chuck by Baffert is another Arrogate. Uncle Chuck is very unseasoned but Baffert doesn't send them here to be second. Depending on the odds, I will bet 6 over 3 and half as much on 3 over 6.

Here is my Grand Slam (races 8-11) bet: 7-1-5-6/3. Expect a short price. Double bet on Tiz the Law.

Here is my $0.50 Pick 5 (races 7-11) bet: 1-4-6/1-2-4-7/1-2-5/5-6/3-6= $72.

Good luck!

Sunday, August 2 Grand Slam and Late Pick 4

Couldn't hit the Whitney with Tom's d'Etat stumbling out of the gate. Killed our Pick 4's as well.

Today, I'm betting the Grand Slam (races 6-9) and Late Pick 4 (races 7-10) presuming we don't get monsoon rains:

GS: 6-8-3-6/4    $0.50 Pk4: 2-5-8-9/3-6-8-11/6/1-2-3-8= $32 Keying the 6 Moretti in the 9th.

Good luck!

2020 Whitney Stakes and Pick 4

Yes, I am alive and well, quarantining since March. Love the TV show, but losing for the meet thus far. Making mistakes and losing head bobs!

I don't see anyone beating 5 Tom's d'Etat. Too good for these. Look for a change of tactics on 1 By My Standards with Jose Ortiz. Only chance to win. 2 Improbable may surprise but doesn't ship well and acts up. Exacta Box: 1-5, with double bet on 5-1.

The Stakes Pick 4 (races 9-12) is always difficult. The cheaper version ($0.50): 1-5/5-6-8/2-4/2-7=$12. The more expensive: 1-5/5-6-8-10-11/2-4/2-4-6-7-9=$50.

Good luck!

Belmont Stakes for Triple Crown Reverse, June 2020

It's been a trying spring with the coronavirus, and Mr. X has had trouble cashing bets during the pandemic. With that said, here is what I like:

1 Tap It To Win looks like a real speed horse with a good post and no real challengers on the front end. He will lead, and my numbers say he will be five lengths in front at the 6f post. He is stretching from the 8.5f to the 9f Belmont (never thought I would say that), but I think that he can easily do it. Track is lightning fast as well.

8 Tiz The Law is clearly the class and horse to beat, but my numbers don't show that he has a great advantage over some of the others. Primed and ready to go. He will be chasing the 1, and we'll see if he can overcome the speed.

4 Modernist is a dark horse stepping back from 9.5f for Mott. I give him a good chance to hit the board as he has an excellent closing time. Just has to stay close.

The bets:

Safe bet

Exacta box: 1-4-8

My bet

Exacta box: 1-8, smaller exacta keybox 1-8 with 4.

Good luck!

Labor Day Final Post for the Doghouse

Made a little money yesterday. Had 9 winners out of twelve on the Doghouse with 7 A horses, 5 on top. Got beat by D.Wayne Lukas (who wins about a race a month) for $3500 in the early Pick 5.

Last Doghouse Confidential posted today. Will be going after the late Pick 6 which will be totally distributed today. All handicapped for mud after scratches and changes.

Good luck!

Doghouse Posted for Sunday, September 1

Yesterday after the scratch of Vino Russo, I came to the conclusion that Provisional would win. Bet a $20 exacta with Yoshida who just missed for second. The story of the meet.

Posted a Doghouse for today. Still losing, but getting many winners in the A category.

As always, go to the red Doghouse Confidential button on the Meet Mr. X page.

Good luck!

Woodward Day Doghouse Posted

Been hitting Pick 5's and Pick 4's but no real money. Can't seem to catch the longshot.

Woodward seems wide open with a slight edge to Vino Rosso off a very fast work here. Anybody can win, though.

As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

Good luck!