Cashed a $1 tri when our longshot 8 Ice Box nipped another of our longshots, 4 Pleasant Prince, to win the Florida Derby. Our $1 ticket came back $1,222; not bad, but light considering that we had a 20-1 over a 25-1 over the favorite. But we'll take it.
Didn't back up the win bet ($43.40) or bet a 10 cent superfecta ($1,523) which we had. The $1 superfecta paid over $15,000!
Can't go back, so we are happy to cash our first big race of the 2010 season. Let's see if we can keep it up.
Mr. X
Sunday, March 21, 2010
Friday, March 19, 2010
Florida Derby, Saturday, March 20, 2010
Yes, I am alive and well and back from Florida where I went to Tampa Bay for the Derby but left before the race. Too many people and too small a plant to handle it.
In the Florida Derby, I like two horses to win: 7 Rule and a longshot 8 Ice Box. Rule is trained by Pletcher and wants the lead, but is not likely to get it with Game On and First Dude and maybe Miners Rescue. But he does look like an improving horse, has the best final time although helped by the Tampa Bay track and good energy distribution at 8.5F. But he hasn't been 9F and may need the lead. Will be overbet. The other intriguing horse is 8 Ice Box who is likely to go off at 10 to 1 or more. Ice Box is the more experienced of the Zito horses, has been 9F twice and didn't have a good trip in last. But his race before in January puts him in the mix and possible longshot winner.
Here is my bet:
Exbx: 7-8
Tri: 7-8 with 2-4-7-8-9-11 with 2-4-7-8-9-11. Will leave out the 9 if no scratches.
Good luck. Stay tuned for Derby analysis in the near future.
Mr. X
In the Florida Derby, I like two horses to win: 7 Rule and a longshot 8 Ice Box. Rule is trained by Pletcher and wants the lead, but is not likely to get it with Game On and First Dude and maybe Miners Rescue. But he does look like an improving horse, has the best final time although helped by the Tampa Bay track and good energy distribution at 8.5F. But he hasn't been 9F and may need the lead. Will be overbet. The other intriguing horse is 8 Ice Box who is likely to go off at 10 to 1 or more. Ice Box is the more experienced of the Zito horses, has been 9F twice and didn't have a good trip in last. But his race before in January puts him in the mix and possible longshot winner.
Here is my bet:
Exbx: 7-8
Tri: 7-8 with 2-4-7-8-9-11 with 2-4-7-8-9-11. Will leave out the 9 if no scratches.
Good luck. Stay tuned for Derby analysis in the near future.
Mr. X
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Breeders Cup Epilogue
Lost for the two days, but not much. Had three or four blocked at the rail. The one that hurt the most was Gayego who was sure to win along the rail but couldn't get through. The horse that won paid over $50, and I had him in the exacta with Gayego on top for $10. Would have been $1000. Woulda, coulda, shoulda. Did hit half a $628 triple on Saturday.
Zenyatta showed that she is something else. Just killed the rest of the group, but I still didn't like her to win. In the Pk3, we hit the first horse which paid $44 and had the favorite in the next race. So we had a C horse and an A horse. Zenyatta was a B horse so while we had all three, we didn't cash. Payoff was $360 - pretty good.
All in all beautiful weather and no one got hurt, so it was an enjoyable but busy two days.
Mr. X
Zenyatta showed that she is something else. Just killed the rest of the group, but I still didn't like her to win. In the Pk3, we hit the first horse which paid $44 and had the favorite in the next race. So we had a C horse and an A horse. Zenyatta was a B horse so while we had all three, we didn't cash. Payoff was $360 - pretty good.
All in all beautiful weather and no one got hurt, so it was an enjoyable but busy two days.
Mr. X
Saturday, November 7, 2009
BC Pik 3, Races 7-9
I have posted and bet a $68 Pik 3 ticket for races 7-9.
You can access the Ticketmaster printout at Meet Mr. X, and click on the Doghouse Confidential button.
Good luck!
Mr. X
You can access the Ticketmaster printout at Meet Mr. X, and click on the Doghouse Confidential button.
Good luck!
Mr. X
Friday, November 6, 2009
BC Classic, Saturday, November 7
Was all around the exactas with longshots in the money, but I never cashed on Friday.
In the Classic, I think that the pace will hurt Zenyatta with Giralamo, Quality Road and others. She hasn't been the distance and really doesn't have the right style for routes at Oak Tree. The likely favorite, Rip Van Winkle, did not look good at all this week according to the Daily Racing Form Clocker. So with those two horses questionable, the race looks wide open. Summer Bird is a dirt horse and didn't do well on synthetics before. Mine That Bird didn't look good all week and may just be too tired and too late for this pace.
I like 2 Colonel John who is inside in the catbird's seat. He is a horse for course and Gomez rides. With Mine That Bird on the rail, Gomez will get great position on the rail behind the speeds. I think he is the winner. Both 6 Richard's Kid and 5 Twice Over (GB) look like they are coming into the race in peak form. Both have a legitimate chance.
So here is what I will bet:
$5 Exacta box: 2-5-6
$2 Ex: 2-5-6 over 3-4-8
$1 Tribx: 2-5-6
Maybe a win bet on 2 if the odds remain high.
And likely more in the triple, hoping that there may be a scratch.
Good luck.
Mr. X
In the Classic, I think that the pace will hurt Zenyatta with Giralamo, Quality Road and others. She hasn't been the distance and really doesn't have the right style for routes at Oak Tree. The likely favorite, Rip Van Winkle, did not look good at all this week according to the Daily Racing Form Clocker. So with those two horses questionable, the race looks wide open. Summer Bird is a dirt horse and didn't do well on synthetics before. Mine That Bird didn't look good all week and may just be too tired and too late for this pace.
I like 2 Colonel John who is inside in the catbird's seat. He is a horse for course and Gomez rides. With Mine That Bird on the rail, Gomez will get great position on the rail behind the speeds. I think he is the winner. Both 6 Richard's Kid and 5 Twice Over (GB) look like they are coming into the race in peak form. Both have a legitimate chance.
So here is what I will bet:
$5 Exacta box: 2-5-6
$2 Ex: 2-5-6 over 3-4-8
$1 Tribx: 2-5-6
Maybe a win bet on 2 if the odds remain high.
And likely more in the triple, hoping that there may be a scratch.
Good luck.
Mr. X
Thursday, November 5, 2009
Friday 8th Race, BC Classic, Nov. 6
Two top horses in 1 Careless Jewel and 7 Music Note. I think that the setup of the race favors the inside speed of Careless Jewel so she is the tepid choice. 3 Mushka ran a great race at Keenland, and may be better on the carpet than on the lawn.
Here is my bet:
$1 Tribox: 1-3-7
$10 Tri: 1 with 3-7
Total $26
Good luck! Note the earlier selections below.
Mr. X
Here is my bet:
$1 Tribox: 1-3-7
$10 Tri: 1 with 3-7
Total $26
Good luck! Note the earlier selections below.
Mr. X
Friday,7th Race, BC Sprint, Nov. 6
Don't like the race as a betting race, and I don't like the favorite. Raced on turf the last time, and ran penultimate in April at Keenland. Ventura will be the betting favorite with Frankel only 1/9 but in the money 7/9. She is the defending champion and will be overbet.
So I'll try to defeat the favorite and have her run off the board. I like the 3 Game Face to finish in the money so here is what I will bet:
All $1 Tri:
3 with 2-7-8 with 2-7-8
2-7-8 with 3 with 2-7-8
2-7-8 with 2-7-8 with 3
Total $18
Worth a shot.
Mr. X
So I'll try to defeat the favorite and have her run off the board. I like the 3 Game Face to finish in the money so here is what I will bet:
All $1 Tri:
3 with 2-7-8 with 2-7-8
2-7-8 with 3 with 2-7-8
2-7-8 with 2-7-8 with 3
Total $18
Worth a shot.
Mr. X
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