Breeders Cup Late Pick 4 for Saturday

Had the $36 winner in the marathon, but still lost for the day. Almost had the exacta a few times as well. Beholder ran to form, but Kaui Katie just wasn't good enough.

I see more favorites winning today although that rarely happens at the Breeders Cup races. Best chances: Groupie Doll, Shanghai Bobby, Point of Entry, and Wise Dan. Hard to single anyone, however.

Here is my late $1 Pick 4:

9th: 1,12
10th: 6,7,11
11th: 2,3,6
12th: 2,4,5,10

Total: $72

Good luck!

Mr. X

Breeder's Cup Friday Spot Plays

Don't know if I will have time to study and post for Saturday, but I do like some of the races on Friday:

Race 4: Exacta box: 3 Merit Man and a longshot 6 Hazardous. Numbers say that they will run away from the field.

Race 7: 1 Beholder has a significant pace advantage. Will take off and need to stretch out to the 8.5f distance. 8 Kaui Katie needs to stretch out as well, but was unbelievable at the Spa and her next race. From connections of Rachel Alexandra. Will bet an exacta box.

$1 Pick 4:

6th: 3-5-6-10
7th: 1-8
8th: 4-9-10
9th: 5-6-8

Total: $72

Good luck! At least we don't have to worry about the weather.

Mr. X

Saratoga Epilogue

Given personal commitments, I didn't think that I would get to the track for the final week. But alas, my company left early, so I was able to go both on Sunday and Monday. Lost $25 on Sunday.

But on Monday, I almost didn't go. Yet I had to have one more shot at the greatest race track in the world.

Turns out I hit a $42 quinella ten times, a triple and 10 cent superfecta in another later race, a $20 Grand Slam and the Late Pick 4 for $1. Won over $900 which put a major dent in my losses.

On another day, I had a $10 double which would have paid $100 per ticket or $500. Unfortunately, I had the only race where the winner was disqualified at the meet.

Still lost for the meet, but not much. Remember, you don't have to bet or win to have a great time at the Spa!

Sorry for the lack of sheets this year. It really has been a busy six weeks.

Mr. X

Late Pick Four, Saturday, August 25

Have been hitting the Pick 4 regularly. I'm putting in the following Pick 4 ending with the Travers:

9th: 2,4
10th: 2,3,5,7,8
11th: 3
12th: 5,6,10

$1 Pick 4: $30

Travers, Saturday, August 25

I think that 10 Nonios looks to be in a good spot with Johnny V. He'll have to work out a trip from the 10 hole, and in truth, he may not want the 10f. On the other hand, he is improving and he has the best final time from the 9f Haskell behind Paynter. Remember that the Haskell was his first race on dirt, so maybe he has more room for improvement.

The horses to beat are 6 Alpha and 5 Street Life. Alpha had everything his own way in the Jim Dandy on a wet track. I don't see him getting the lead today, but he will stalk. Chad Brown has tried everything to get Street Life into the race earlier. He wants to win here at the Spa. Maybe his win in the Curlin Stakes here hints at an improving horse who will want the 10f distance.

Win: 10
Exacta box: 5-6-10
Exacta box: 10/5-6

Good luck!

Doghouse Posted for Sunday, August 19, 2012

I have posted another abbreviated Doghouse with the Pick 4's.

Go to Meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

Too many turf and too many maiden races. Later races are best.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Abbreviated Doghouse Confidential Posted, Friday, August 17, 2012

I have posted an abbreviated Doghouse listing the horses in my preference order, but no betting strategies. Double A means most preferred.

Go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

All races are handicapped for fast and firm so if it rains later in the day and we get a monsoon, you should forget the sheet.

Have been hitting the Pick 4's very well for the now $0.50 bet. That bet has been very profitable. Only down $300 and moving to the positive side.

Good luck.

Mr. X