Friday, August 23, 2019

Travers 2019

The Travers has a full field this year. Not sure exactly why, but as usual, horses are coming from everywhere.

The horse to beat and the only horse I really like is 6 Tacitus. He is a hard luck horse that should have no excuses. Maybe the horse makes his own trouble. I don't like a change as in blinkers for a major race. However, I think he is long overdue.The winner.

7 Mucho Gusto has a major pace advantage in this field, so he will take off and want the lead. My numbers say he is just short of making the 10f, but if not challenged, he could get brave. 12 Tax will have to go from the outside. Tax did not make my numbers for the Kentucky Derby, but he does now as he has matured. I think Tax will have to go to the lead and will fight with 6 and others eventually fading. 2 Code of Honor has a great post, but I think he is just too slow. 1 Owendale is a mystery horse to me, coming off a big win and a layoff and working lights out at Churchill Downs. 10 Scars Are Cool is coming off a maiden win, but meets my numbers and could hit the exacta. Many of the other potential contenders came out of muddy, sealed track races, so it is impossible to predict how good or bad they are.

Safe bet: $2 exacta key box: 6/1-2-7-10

Here is my bet:

$50 win 6 at 2-1 or more (which I doubt).

$20 exacta: 6-7    $10 exacta: 6 over 1-2-10   $5 exacta: 1-2-7-10/6

Good luck!

No comments: