Well, it's that time of year again at the beautiful Spa. Getting off to a fast start losing two days in a row although had a couple of good hits.
Here are a couple of spot plays:
1st: Usually I don't bet a deep closer in a 6f race because the model says that the winner needs to be around 3 lengths or so from the lead. However, 7 Glynisthemenace (5-1, Jacobson claim) is in with some very questionable cheap speed so I'll bet a win ticket on him. Then I'll put him in an exacta box with the other closer 8 World Power (6-1, Dominguez) and finally 2 Gabrilicious (8-1). Should be good payoffs.
2nd: 5 Hillswick (2-1, Jacobson claim back) has the best speed but is zero for seven at the distance. Still he holds a significant pace advantage over these. Has to hold on. The main danger is 1 Maui Mark (5-2) who hasn't raced on dirt since Santa Anita in March. Will bet a larger Jacobson double: 7-5 and a lesser 7-1 saver.
Good luck and look to the blog for spot plays and when the Doghouse Confidential is posted.
Mr. X
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