Belmont Stakes Doghouse Posted

Not a great race by any means. Looks like a few good ones that will be overbet and a bunch of tryers trying to get a check.

I have to stay with Ice Box to win. He can get the distance, but does have the wrong running style. Will be overbet, but the likely winner.

Click on the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X.

Good Luck!

Mr. X

Preakness Doghouse Posted

It's lucky number 7 Lookin At Lucky who finally has a good post. But he's no cinch.

Click on the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X.

In the Derby, we had everything right except the winner. Didn't meet our criteria and didn't like him to win at all after the race at Tampa Bay. Mud is a great equalizer. Our horse, Ice Box, should have won but blocked countless times by a not so great jockey ride.

Great weather finally for a big race. Have fun!

Mr. X

Final Doghouse Kentucky Derby 2010 Posted

Here we go again. Making it more difficult with the weather.

It is 2 Ice Box by default. He is the only one of our three original contenders who didn't scratch.

As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.

Good luck!

Mr. X

Derby Horses Updated

I have updated the list of horses with the scratches and the new horses. Go to the bottom of Meet Mr. X.

Also, I have posted the horses by post and by tier to get a better picture of the contenders and where they will be starting from.

The weather looks atrocious so with the two favorites in bad posts, we could have a major chaos race.

Check back for the final analysis. Tough to find a winner with the scratches of horses that we liked.

Mr. X

Kentucky Derby 2010 Preliminary Analysis Posted

Mr. X was a phone in guest on "Trackfacts Live" this past Sunday explaining the theory and listing the tiers of current contenders.

I have posted the charts that I used on the show at the bottom of Meet Mr. X. See Kentucky Derby 2010 Analysis.

Remember that the choices are only preliminary, but with the major preps being over, we can categorize the contenders. I will post the final Doghouse on the night before or the day of the Derby.

Mr. X

Cashed in Florida Derby

Cashed a $1 tri when our longshot 8 Ice Box nipped another of our longshots, 4 Pleasant Prince, to win the Florida Derby. Our $1 ticket came back $1,222; not bad, but light considering that we had a 20-1 over a 25-1 over the favorite. But we'll take it.

Didn't back up the win bet ($43.40) or bet a 10 cent superfecta ($1,523) which we had. The $1 superfecta paid over $15,000!

Can't go back, so we are happy to cash our first big race of the 2010 season. Let's see if we can keep it up.

Mr. X

Florida Derby, Saturday, March 20, 2010

Yes, I am alive and well and back from Florida where I went to Tampa Bay for the Derby but left before the race. Too many people and too small a plant to handle it.

In the Florida Derby, I like two horses to win: 7 Rule and a longshot 8 Ice Box. Rule is trained by Pletcher and wants the lead, but is not likely to get it with Game On and First Dude and maybe Miners Rescue. But he does look like an improving horse, has the best final time although helped by the Tampa Bay track and good energy distribution at 8.5F. But he hasn't been 9F and may need the lead. Will be overbet. The other intriguing horse is 8 Ice Box who is likely to go off at 10 to 1 or more. Ice Box is the more experienced of the Zito horses, has been 9F twice and didn't have a good trip in last. But his race before in January puts him in the mix and possible longshot winner.

Here is my bet:

Exbx: 7-8

Tri: 7-8 with 2-4-7-8-9-11 with 2-4-7-8-9-11. Will leave out the 9 if no scratches.

Good luck. Stay tuned for Derby analysis in the near future.

Mr. X