I don't see anyone beating 5 Tom's d'Etat. Too good for these. Look for a change of tactics on 1 By My Standards with Jose Ortiz. Only chance to win. 2 Improbable may surprise but doesn't ship well and acts up. Exacta Box: 1-5, with double bet on 5-1.
The Stakes Pick 4 (races 9-12) is always difficult. The cheaper version ($0.50): 1-5/5-6-8/2-4/2-7=$12. The more expensive: 1-5/5-6-8-10-11/2-4/2-4-6-7-9=$50.