I really don't like this race at all. Seems like there are horses that have disappointed, a bunch of deep clunkers, and a few that don't belong. Hard to like Irish War Cry after his Derby and my numbers that say that he can't go 10f. But this is 12f with an entirely different pace favoring horses that run evenly with a good crusing speed. Motion wouldn't have put him in the race unless he knew that the horse wanted to run. Still hard to like as the favorite.
Chad Brown has the rail with a lesser Twisted Tom. Brown looks like he pointed this horse for the race. Working well. I would like Patch more but don't like the 12 post.
But I would rather take a shot with a lightly raced horse instead of this group of very undependable and inconsistent horses. So my money will be on 9 Meantime. Brian Lynch is an excellent trainer, and the horse hasn't run on a fast track at a route. Has a very good work at Belmont on May 27. Raced in the Peter Pan at Belmont and failed while leading on a sealed track. Jose Ortiz left and will be on the Pletcher horse, Tapwrit. But we inherit Mike Smith, not too shabby in a big race.
Admittedly, I am taking a longshot. But when you don't have a good feel for the race, you might as well take a chance on perhaps an improving horse.
Here is the bet:
$30 win 9 = $30
$5 exacta box 1-7-9 = $30
$10 exacta 9 over 1-7-12= $30
$2 exacta box 9 with 2-6-10-12 = $16