Sorry, no Triple Crown winner.It's 6 Frosted with a little help from his friends. And he needs help to win.
As usual, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.
Good luck!
Mr.X
Friday, June 5, 2015
Friday, May 15, 2015
Preakness 2015
Well, we bet all the closers in the Derby expecting a contested pace. Several horses who would have chased just didn't get out. So the top three went around essentially unchanged. American Pharoah did look much the best. Had some really good luck breaking from the 16 post which I did not think could happen. Our horse, Frosted, closed best of all but finished fourth. So it was the front runner's day.
The Preakness looks like a repeat with 8 Firing Line wanting the lead. It could be rainy and muddy so things may change. 1 American Pharoah has the rail and will get close to or will have the lead. I'm betting that these two race around together, but that Firing Line finally gives up in the stretch.
My upset choice for the exacta is 6 Bodhisvatta. Looks like an improving horse. Mud is okay, and he is the only horse who has won here at Pimlico. My numbers say that he is the third best after the top two. But I'm hoping that Firing Line burns out and Bodhisvatta closes to make the exacta.
Haven't figured out the exacta bet yet, but the major bet will be American Pharoah over Bodhisvatta.
Good luck!
Mr. X
The Preakness looks like a repeat with 8 Firing Line wanting the lead. It could be rainy and muddy so things may change. 1 American Pharoah has the rail and will get close to or will have the lead. I'm betting that these two race around together, but that Firing Line finally gives up in the stretch.
My upset choice for the exacta is 6 Bodhisvatta. Looks like an improving horse. Mud is okay, and he is the only horse who has won here at Pimlico. My numbers say that he is the third best after the top two. But I'm hoping that Firing Line burns out and Bodhisvatta closes to make the exacta.
Haven't figured out the exacta bet yet, but the major bet will be American Pharoah over Bodhisvatta.
Good luck!
Mr. X
Saturday, May 2, 2015
International Star Scratched (10:30 am)
12 International Star has been scratched because of a minor foot injury.
Now substitute 2 Carpe Diem for 12 International Star and use 6 Mubtaahij in the $1 tri box.
Good luck!
Now substitute 2 Carpe Diem for 12 International Star and use 6 Mubtaahij in the $1 tri box.
Good luck!
Friday, May 1, 2015
Doghouse Confidential for Kentucky Derby Posted
I have posted my analysis for the Derby. Looks like great weather.
Very difficult as usual, and I'm betting on the closers picking up the very contested pace.
15 Frosted is my key horse by default. I'm hoping he will make the exacta.
As usual, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.
Good luck!
Mr. X
Very difficult as usual, and I'm betting on the closers picking up the very contested pace.
15 Frosted is my key horse by default. I'm hoping he will make the exacta.
As usual, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.
Good luck!
Mr. X
Thursday, April 30, 2015
Kentucky Derby Contenders Categorized
Had trouble again accessing my own website, but finally made it.
As I do every year, I have categorized the contenders based on energy distribution and last three furlong times. There are some explanations on the website if you care to get into the details. Remember that this analysis only looks at whether a horse wants to run the 10f of the Derby. There is no consideration of final time and no handicapping the race.
You can access this at the Meet Mr. X page, clicking on the red Doghouse Confidential button.
I will post a Kentucky Derby analysis and betting strategies on Friday night or early Saturday morning.
Good luck to all!
Mr. X
As I do every year, I have categorized the contenders based on energy distribution and last three furlong times. There are some explanations on the website if you care to get into the details. Remember that this analysis only looks at whether a horse wants to run the 10f of the Derby. There is no consideration of final time and no handicapping the race.
You can access this at the Meet Mr. X page, clicking on the red Doghouse Confidential button.
I will post a Kentucky Derby analysis and betting strategies on Friday night or early Saturday morning.
Good luck to all!
Mr. X
Friday, October 31, 2014
Breeder's Cup Late Pick 4 Posted for Saturday, November 1
Just posted a $0.50 Pick 4 costing $122 before scratches. Need to spread in these races. Just go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.
12th Race B.C. Classic
I think 11 Tonalist is the key horse and horse to beat. Very tough race, but he looks like he is in a good spot. The track continues to be speed favoring on dirt, so horses way back don't have a legitimate chance. Bet horses near or on the lead even in longer dirt races.
10th Race B.C. Sprint
I really like the horse from Hong Kong who won at Santa Anita: 6 Rich Tapestry. Major race here in last. Another key horse to use in the exotics. Discounted the chances of Palace and Salutos Amigos because they come from so far back.
Only need one race to be profitable on the day. Collected twice today and lost. I'm the only one who could do that. Left out the favorite in my Pick 4 as well, so I didn't hit it. But it wasn't much anyway. Looking for bigger fish to fry.
Good luck!
12th Race B.C. Classic
I think 11 Tonalist is the key horse and horse to beat. Very tough race, but he looks like he is in a good spot. The track continues to be speed favoring on dirt, so horses way back don't have a legitimate chance. Bet horses near or on the lead even in longer dirt races.
10th Race B.C. Sprint
I really like the horse from Hong Kong who won at Santa Anita: 6 Rich Tapestry. Major race here in last. Another key horse to use in the exotics. Discounted the chances of Palace and Salutos Amigos because they come from so far back.
Only need one race to be profitable on the day. Collected twice today and lost. I'm the only one who could do that. Left out the favorite in my Pick 4 as well, so I didn't hit it. But it wasn't much anyway. Looking for bigger fish to fry.
Good luck!
Friday, August 29, 2014
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