tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-57765309086757389552024-03-05T21:50:38.469-05:00The World of Mr. XUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger307125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-85017310449903475972023-11-04T09:54:00.007-04:002023-11-04T09:54:56.742-04:00Breeder's Cup Late Pick 5<p> Here is what I will bet with a partner. Total cost of the $0.50 bet is $240 with the picks in the order of preference. Classic is very difficult. Way to much speed in the race and really wide open. Maybe the closer in Zandon can pick up the pieces:</p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEihGRMNTZKyNi1BXqNSjlAQRHwsCX4s3cX2pCkS5Mpw0euBC7YhXPqXPQNHsJsm-42mx9dHrvjMWXOnZavnWBUC94UE3xecNZ_SgvE58rwfBu4kGB9VJxhK8AA84-2_kdXe99fuq2mo_tqzGBr7dFoxjiHRd_6lIz9deFXTXMraQMOHa1N2v77JTMmdryc" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="195" data-original-width="527" height="118" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEihGRMNTZKyNi1BXqNSjlAQRHwsCX4s3cX2pCkS5Mpw0euBC7YhXPqXPQNHsJsm-42mx9dHrvjMWXOnZavnWBUC94UE3xecNZ_SgvE58rwfBu4kGB9VJxhK8AA84-2_kdXe99fuq2mo_tqzGBr7dFoxjiHRd_6lIz9deFXTXMraQMOHa1N2v77JTMmdryc" width="320" /></a></div><br /><br /><p></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-6063809306850335902023-08-25T21:10:00.001-04:002023-08-25T21:11:20.049-04:00Travers Day Pick 5<p> Hit the Pick 5 today ($791) for only the third time at Saratoga, although had countless 4 of 5's (which don't pay).</p><p>Tomorrow's card is fantastic to watch excellent horses in five stake races ending with the Travers. Unfortunately, while great to watch championship horses, betting big favorites doesn't make you money. </p><p>In the Travers, I like Arcangelo to beat Forte. Working since the Belmont and beat Forte, but either one could win. Should be a great race.</p><p>Here is my pick 5 for tomorrow starting with the 8th race. But don't forget the 7th with Elite Power going up against Gunite again. Should be a great race. Good luck!</p><p><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiPErKwa7ppOylQeayUOBUlTqb9kVZhMaLIRkme4SybcRhjakBH1Jo-RKhaeSt4k8yG0jiLx8TLdG2R4I7uMWX_FT27BlGOg5kugedi0KQ1Rl6G7_fIdrRmoo8tRWjFFsc_C2xO_7zZrmQqT62VYg7omxF2rhugWOKznapYnqD_mZgtgq-Hf2HV7r58g8g" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="377" data-original-width="786" height="233" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiPErKwa7ppOylQeayUOBUlTqb9kVZhMaLIRkme4SybcRhjakBH1Jo-RKhaeSt4k8yG0jiLx8TLdG2R4I7uMWX_FT27BlGOg5kugedi0KQ1Rl6G7_fIdrRmoo8tRWjFFsc_C2xO_7zZrmQqT62VYg7omxF2rhugWOKznapYnqD_mZgtgq-Hf2HV7r58g8g=w447-h233" width="447" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><p></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-12538054068123289752023-08-05T11:25:00.004-04:002023-08-05T11:25:27.660-04:00Whitney Day Pick 5, Races 8-12<p> Here is my Pick 5 for today, singling Cody's Wish:</p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGJMv5YU9L6f_oWgJF1atYav6l0yB64qZbcuZP0ttzX1r54RXQgJ2_fEXkJAdd7wtQ9d4DQO3dIMR72jKNKuHHa5OpXyVDXIiz-IYiIu9exCAT7JzOJ-t1YuQjo1l_JPHsglzsfd_fYd8wvy3c8xWESaJxXRTX_pqDnDaIknpTpdcZXKVG0BIrtWnDJ_A/s787/pick%205%20whitney.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="410" data-original-width="787" height="264" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGJMv5YU9L6f_oWgJF1atYav6l0yB64qZbcuZP0ttzX1r54RXQgJ2_fEXkJAdd7wtQ9d4DQO3dIMR72jKNKuHHa5OpXyVDXIiz-IYiIu9exCAT7JzOJ-t1YuQjo1l_JPHsglzsfd_fYd8wvy3c8xWESaJxXRTX_pqDnDaIknpTpdcZXKVG0BIrtWnDJ_A/w504-h264/pick%205%20whitney.jpg" width="504" /></a></div><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-66148501478136332602023-08-04T21:29:00.002-04:002023-08-04T21:33:44.351-04:00Whitney Stakes Doghouse Posted<p> The condition of the turf course will really impact the selections. I have assumed yielding and leaned on the European horses. I have handicapped races 6-10 which are all the stakes races on the card.</p><p>Let's hope Cody's Wish wins the Whitney. Just too good a story. I will be playing the Pick 4 which is races 7-10. </p><p>Have been losing highlighted by the last July 26 Doghouse where my horse in the last race at 20-1 was interfered with yet no disqualification on the winner. Pick 5 would have paid $985!</p><p>As always, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-55688996373471138712023-07-25T21:56:00.002-04:002023-07-25T21:56:52.984-04:00Doghouse Posted for Wednesday, July 26<p> I have finally posted my first Doghouse Confidential of the 2023 Saratoga meet. Have been losing but holding my own. Haven't hit the Pick 5 yet, but have had a few 4 of 5, along with a great deal of swearing.</p><p>As always, go to the red Doghouse Confidential button at Meet Mr. X. Tough card as usual so take it easy.</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-24100715889497232002023-06-09T19:50:00.000-04:002023-06-09T19:50:09.519-04:00Belmont Stakes 2023<p>For many reasons, I'm not excited about this race. Hated the Preakness and the ridiculously slow pace. This race has a lot going on in different directions. Tapit Trice was the second favorite in the Derby whom I did not like at all. Got behind a wall of horses at the start and never recovered. Don't expect him to do any better this time even though he is being heavily touted.</p><p>I still like Forte to win although his come from behind style does not win the Belmont. But hard to ignore. Angel of Empire will get blinkers and has worked very fast since the Derby. Will be closer than his usual style coming from way behind. Generally, I do not like changes in big races, but I trust Brad Cox. Will have to love the Belmont track to win. Cox entered two other "rabbits" from his stable to keep National Treasure company on the front end. Just going to bet an exacta box with 6 Forte and 8 Angel of Empire.</p><p>Good luck! </p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-11202954578591572312023-05-20T10:43:00.000-04:002023-05-20T10:43:29.417-04:00Preakness Pick 5, Races 9-13<p style="text-align: left;"> Here is the expensive and cheaper versions of the Pick 5:</p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEidrAzuEffAXqgQq_WwcQD3AbTL4aY6joQTIzhIWVNivutf_rn0vqWkR56QHEm583hSUZNHdhX9u1pOtz3WLiHox8hSArGEFkrteLxBCmOqWR1ZWNH2L0Ksfvoc-m6cUQHDjrJTpr1aZvKlZHbsRMvzXcakv_FzOn34-NqtbZQA-GpsNQKOHzk2nKcP" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="406" data-original-width="792" height="164" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEidrAzuEffAXqgQq_WwcQD3AbTL4aY6joQTIzhIWVNivutf_rn0vqWkR56QHEm583hSUZNHdhX9u1pOtz3WLiHox8hSArGEFkrteLxBCmOqWR1ZWNH2L0Ksfvoc-m6cUQHDjrJTpr1aZvKlZHbsRMvzXcakv_FzOn34-NqtbZQA-GpsNQKOHzk2nKcP" width="320" /></a></div><br /></div></div><p></p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiQKHdZ1qeZ4NZ8E1Alq2TA4zz9SgcuiG5LJ-zncgGW1idITPEB-uX3xrmwTjIUXOY5gn-HLRr3YcKEBXSqcs01LzC2i3gm0XeDSoJPmK2P9vXPiCC-GbWF3OQts9Ch09FS3Tkjh29zcSUwILRuBpxVO1L0KYJIPhCiXpvXU96O1kUfKU8AkUavnKG1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="407" data-original-width="801" height="163" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiQKHdZ1qeZ4NZ8E1Alq2TA4zz9SgcuiG5LJ-zncgGW1idITPEB-uX3xrmwTjIUXOY5gn-HLRr3YcKEBXSqcs01LzC2i3gm0XeDSoJPmK2P9vXPiCC-GbWF3OQts9Ch09FS3Tkjh29zcSUwILRuBpxVO1L0KYJIPhCiXpvXU96O1kUfKU8AkUavnKG1" width="320" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /></div><br /><br /><br /><p></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-70622553640573505482023-05-19T21:25:00.002-04:002023-05-19T21:38:09.101-04:00Preakness 2023<p>Unfortunately, this race has really fallen apart. With only <span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: #fcff01;">3 Mage</span> </span>from the Derby, we are now down to six horses with the scratch today of First Mission. It doesn't look like Mage can be beaten with this group. He needs to break okay or at least not really bad as he prone to do. </p><p>The danger is the 1 National Treasure with Johnny Velasquez on the rail. Baffert who wants to be relevant again in the Triple Crown has been working the horse extremely fast in California. Hopefully, 4 Coffeewithchris will keep him company. The only way Mage can be beaten is if National Treasure is alone on the front end. However, National Treasure is no prize. He was fourth in the Santa Anita Derby behind Practical Move who scratched, and the rest of the California horses did nothing in the Derby. Baffert's undefeated filly in the Black-Eyed Susan as the big favorite failed badly. So you have to question the caliber of the California horses.</p><p>The only way I can see to make any money on the race is to find a closer who will follow Mage and complete the exacta. The horse I like is a Gun Runner closer trained by Asmussen in <span style="background-color: black; color: #04ff00;">5 Red Route One</span>. Has raced four times in 2023 including the Arkansas Derby, the Rebel, the Southwest, and won his last ungraded stakes. Deep closer with Joel Rosario who won on him last.</p><p>There are others like 6 Perform that could be second, but I'm betting that Red Route One completes the exacta.</p><p>Safe bet:</p><p>$2 Exacta key box: 3 with 1, 5,6 = $12</p><p>My bet:</p><p>$40 Exacta: 3 over 5</p><p>$10 Exacta: 5 over 3</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-43368773079763765402023-05-07T10:01:00.004-04:002023-05-07T10:01:52.050-04:00Derby Epilogue<p> Not a good day at all. Too many changes and scratches. Our horse, Angel of Empire, was a solid favorite to win after Forte scratched. Terrible, uncharacteristic ride by Flavien Plat not keeping up and letting the horse go to the back of the pack. Can't win from that position. Only lost by 1.5 lengths and closing. Mage was a good horse to at least consider after being beaten by Forte in the Florida Derby. Just never did after the scratch. On to the Preakness.</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-28629754482840434802023-05-06T11:43:00.002-04:002023-05-06T11:43:27.826-04:00Correction<p> Always check my numbers. Disarm is 11 horse, not 9. That is where he will break from (his post position).</p><p>Also my suspicions were confirmed: Forte is out with a bruised foot.</p><p>Bets are the same without Forte.</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-69943197875402034622023-05-05T20:40:00.003-04:002023-05-05T20:40:49.024-04:00Kentucky Derby 2023 Doghouse Confidential with Pick 5<p> The day is finally here tomorrow. Many scratches have changed the complexion of the race. Be sure to look for the Pick 5 ending with the Derby at the bottom of the Doghouse.</p><p>Looks like 14 Angel of Empire for Brad Cox and Flavien Plat. Great race in the Arkansas Derby and looking to move forward with a wide sweeping move at the end just as he did at Oaklawn.</p><p>There are questions about 15 Forte who is the deserving favorite off his accomplishments to date.</p><p>As always, click on the red Doghouse Confidential button at the Meet Mr. X tab.</p><p>Good luck!</p><p>Mr. X</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-68972373531639177092023-05-02T19:37:00.002-04:002023-05-02T19:38:45.740-04:00Kentucky Derby 2023 Probables Categorized<p> As we do every year, I have characterized the horses based on their median energy distribution and last three furlong times at or near 9f. Remember this is only a way to separate the contenders and does not even consider final times. </p><p>It appears that the analysis for this year really doesn't help to separate the contenders. It could be that the trainers are now training horses to accelerate in the final three furlongs to give them a chance to make the 10f of the Derby.</p><p>Go to the Meet Mr. X tab and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>As always, I will be posting my analysis late Friday or early Saturday.</p><p>Good luck to all.</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-15334804059447026682023-05-02T19:24:00.004-04:002023-05-02T19:24:37.432-04:00Woulda, Coulda, Shoulda<p> </p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;">On
Wednesday (April 5) had the pick 5 going at Tampa. The first three legs paid $11-13.
Then I singled a very difficult race. Horse bumped and weaved through the
stretch to win by a head and pay $13.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;">In
the last race on the turf for maidens, I had three horses (1,2,6) that would
pay between $5-7.5K for the pick 5. There was only one horse (4) that I thought
had a chance, but he had been off a full year, was working steadily since
December, but the trainer was 0-13 with horses coming back in more than 90
days. So for insurance, I bet $50 to win on every other horse in the race, and
$100 on the 4. Total $400 for insurance.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;">As
the horses were coming down the stretch the 2 and 1 were fighting it out with
the 6 already spent on the lead. Then a horse was flying on the outside and won
easily. Turned out it was the 4 who paid $13.30. I collected $660 for a $119
profit for the day. Doesn’t seem right.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;">Pick
5 for $0.50 paid over $76K!</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-margin-top-alt: auto;">Mr.
X<o:p></o:p></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-78463845884771771992022-11-06T09:28:00.003-05:002022-11-07T20:58:45.787-05:00Breeder's Cup Epilogue 2022<p> Everyone who wants to bet the races has to have a plan. Mine was to bet the pick 3's, 4's and 5's and then anything else that presented good value. A good plan starts with knowing when the races will be run. Unfortunately, I still haven't learned that lesson, presuming that the first Breeder's Cup race would be after 2 pm when televised. So I didn't bet my single, Goodnightolive as the race was over, and only had a few minutes to bet the next race. Screwed that up, too, by not betting a pick 3 that paid over $1500 for $2. Had the $87 horse as a B.</p><p>The Doghouse had 8 winners from 9 races with 6 A's and 2 B's including the $87 horse. Appleby won two races and Irad won one race while Rosario finished in the money four times. So there was no reason that I shouldn't have made a killing.</p><p>But after my issues at the beginning, I became reckless and bet a number of pick 4's, 5's, and even a pick 6 which I rarely do. Unfortunately, we didn't have the winner in the sixth race which caused a number of bets to lose. I was now down about $500 using my surprising wealth from Friday. But in the end, I hit the late pick 3 and pick 4 to bail me out for a profit of $100 for the day. Plus $600 for the Breeder's Cup two days. Woulda, shoulda, coulda.</p><p><br /></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-51047003400400565132022-11-04T19:09:00.000-04:002022-11-04T19:09:01.851-04:00Saturday Breeder's Cup Doghouse Posted, November 5, 2022<p> In a complete surprise, I made money today hitting the ridiculously easy exacta with Forte over Cave Rock for $27. Should have paid about $12, so I'll take it for the only two real threats in the race.</p><p>Also, hit the Pick 4 for a quarter of $1800, a profitable Friday even though the card was difficult.</p><p>Keeneland is playing like Saratoga with a short stretch on dirt with horses having to be near the lead at the top of the stretch. On the turf, favor the inside runners and bet against horses on the outside to win. Additionally, lean on Rosario and Irad Ortiz who seem to be getting the best mounts. Charlie Appleby, trainer, for Godolphin in England won two races today and is loaded for tomorrow. William Buick is his primary rider. Give extra weight to anything he runs. He mentioned today that Modern Games in the mile is his most likely winner tomorrow. </p><p>Go to meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-39286252719568565312022-11-03T20:12:00.001-04:002022-11-03T20:12:31.472-04:00Breeder's Cup Friday Doghouse Posted, November 4, 2022<p> Just posted the Doghouse for Friday's Breeder's Cup races. Don't know if it helps. Ridiculously difficult given the two year-olds, and even more chaos with the turf races invaded by the foreign horses with limited information.</p><p>If I can win two races each day, I will break even or make some money. Unfortunately, I usually make a major deposit over the two days. Really take it easy on Friday and be a little more brave on Saturday.</p><p>I will be posted tomorrow night for Saturday.</p><p>As always, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button. </p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-61779373823852385802022-09-04T10:10:00.001-04:002022-09-04T10:10:37.040-04:00Sunday Doghouse Posted, September 4<p> Last Doghouse was not good at all except that it did have the Pick 5 for $1100. But it would have taken a ticket of $300 or more. No thanks.</p><p>Another difficult card today for likely the last dry day of the meet. Again, tread lightly with many contentious races. </p><p>As always, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the Doghouse Confidential button. Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-19829959125865999492022-09-02T10:25:00.001-04:002022-09-02T10:25:25.696-04:00Doghouse Posted for Friday, September 2<p> We had the Travers winner and the big exacta, along with the Pick 4 (twice), double and triple in the next race. So a good day overall even though I did not add a horse after a scratch in the Pick 5 that would have paid $568. So it goes.</p><p>Today's card is extremely difficult, probably the most contentious of the meet, so take it easy. Difficult to bet the Pick 5 or Pick 4, likely too expensive.</p><p>As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button. Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-32180100691495910522022-08-27T10:45:00.002-04:002022-08-27T10:45:50.052-04:00Travers Doghouse Posted for Late Pick 5<p>I love Epicenter in the Travers, but I just can't ignore the track record time of Cyberknife in the Haskell at Monmouth who has a chance to upset. Brad Cox (Cyberknife) knows what he is doing. Meets my numbers, but does look a bit light against Epicenter. Early Voting with Brown is always a threat, and I just can't ignore Rich Strike who comes from way out of it and is working great here. But in the end, it is an exacta box with Epicenter and Cyberknife. I will also bet smaller boxes with each of these with the other two.</p><p>I like the middle Pick 5. Think it has a good chance.</p><p>Been picking winners, but cashing less. Always seems that there is one horse knocking me out of the Pick 5.</p><p>Go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Weather is great and the track is tightening up. Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-55158273173036838132022-08-17T08:21:00.000-04:002022-08-17T08:21:16.611-04:00Doghouse Posted for Wednesday, August 17<p> Had 8 of 11 winners on the Saturday Doghouse, with 6 A horses. But still managed to lose big when Jose Ortiz blew the ride on the big favorite in the feature, Regal Glory. Would have made over $500 hitting the Grand Slam and the late Pick 5. So it goes.</p><p>Today is really another bad card with impending rain showers so take it easy. The track will continue to change making it very difficult to focus on the winning track bias.</p><p>As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-86909821394186347272022-08-13T09:27:00.001-04:002022-08-13T09:27:33.033-04:00Doghouse Posted for Saturday, August 13<p> Been hitting or just missing Pick 3, 4, and 5 since last Doghouse on August 3. Same with Grand Slam. That day the sheet had all nine winners with 7 of 9 A's. Hit the early Pick 5 for $630. Definitely heating up for the second half.</p><p>As usual, go to Meet Mr. X and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Good late Pick 5 for only $20. Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-73944120877126356352022-08-02T19:09:00.001-04:002022-08-02T19:09:06.697-04:00Doghouse Posted for Wednesday, August 3<p> Again, not a great card including a jump race. Have been doing very poorly, so take it easy. Can't seem to catch a break. Had six horses in the final leg of the pick 4 and didn't hit it. The good news is that historically I do much better in the second half of the meet. Let's hope so.</p><p>Just go to the Meet Mr. X page, and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Saw both Jackie's Warrior and Epicenter on Saturday. Such beautiful and gifted horses!</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-24888485089674801092022-07-30T09:54:00.001-04:002022-07-30T09:54:14.276-04:00Doghouse Confidential Posted for Jim Dandy Day, July 30<p> Just posted the Doghouse for today. Not a great card for a big day, but we will take it. Only a four horse race for the Jim Dandy, and Jackie's Warrior will be a prohibitive and deserving favorite for the Vanderbilt.</p><p>Had a terrible day on Wednesday missing the exacta twice near the wire. On the other hand, Mrs. X hit a $323 triple. Insulting!</p><p>As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-6733104082016503322022-07-26T19:26:00.001-04:002022-07-26T19:26:30.292-04:00Doghouse Confidential for Wednesday (7/27) Posted<p> Just posted the first Doghouse Confidential for the Saratoga season. Not a great card. </p><p>As always, go to the Meet Mr. X page and click on the red Doghouse Confidential button.</p><p>Losing but not terrible. Hitting some good ones but can't keep the money in my pocket. So what else is new.</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5776530908675738955.post-84773454933694795862022-06-11T10:07:00.000-04:002022-06-11T10:07:03.502-04:00Belmont Stakes 2022<p> After screwing up the Preakness for betting against Chad Brown and Early Voting, I'm back to backing 6 Mo Donegal who was my pick in the Derby. Has to stay close, can't be too far back. Irad choice (over Nest) for Pletcher who loves to win the Belmont.</p><p>1 We The People meets my numbers, has the right running style for this race, and the pedigree. But I don't like him. Looks dressed up from the sealed track win in the Peter Pan and will struggle on the lead here, I think, presuming 3 Nest will go after him. Mo Donegal and Nest, the filly, are both owned in part by Repole Stables. So I am assuming that the only reason she is in the race is to keep We The People honest and allow Mo Donegal to close.</p><p>5 Creative Minister looks to be improving and could hit the exacta. But we can't ignore 4 Rich Strike who ran like a crazy horse in the Derby and has been working very well at Churchill and will likely like the Belmont track as well. Has to stay closer if he is to win.</p><p>Here is the safe bet: </p><p>$2 exacta box: 4-5-6</p><p>My bet:</p><p>$20 exacta box: 4-6 = $40</p><p>$10 exacta box: 5-6 = $20</p><p>Good luck!</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0